{"id":6847,"date":"2021-02-26T07:50:15","date_gmt":"2021-02-26T07:50:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/foods.hunghau.vn\/?p=6847"},"modified":"2021-02-26T08:07:14","modified_gmt":"2021-02-26T08:07:14","slug":"tong-quan-tinh-hinh-kinh-te-the-gioi-nam-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hfoods.vn\/vi\/tong-quan-tinh-hinh-kinh-te-the-gioi-nam-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u1ed4NG QUAN KINH T\u1ebe TH\u1ebe GI\u1edaI N\u0102M 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u0110\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch COVID-19 b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 lan r\u1ed9ng kh\u1eafp to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn b\u1ee9c tranh kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi n\u0103m 2020 h\u1ebft s\u1ee9c u \u00e1m. T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 6\/2020, c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u00e0 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed3ng lo\u1ea1t nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u suy tho\u00e1i s\u00e2u trong n\u0103m 2020.<\/div>\n
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Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 12, khi ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf t\u00e1i kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng sau phong t\u1ecfa do d\u1ecbch COVID-19, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u kh\u1ea3 quan h\u01a1n. T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c H\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Kinh t\u1ebf cho r\u1eb1ng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i sau khi n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t v\u00e0 c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p m\u1edf c\u1eeda tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i. Theo \u0111\u00f3, t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o GDP th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi gi\u1ea3m 4,2% trong n\u0103m 2020, \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u0103ng 0,3 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u01b0a ra v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 n\u0103m 2020. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IMF), T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf Fitch Ratings (FR), \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u0103ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m 2020 so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y. C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, IMF v\u00e0 FR d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o GDP th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi n\u0103m 2020 \u1edf m\u1ee9c -4,4%, v\u00e0 -3,7%, t\u0103ng 0,5 v\u00e0 0,7 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m. Theo Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1 ADB, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ea1t 2,1%, Hoa K\u1ef3 gi\u1ea3m -3,5%, Khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro gi\u1ea3m 7,4%, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n gi\u1ea3m 5,4%, In-\u0111\u00f4-n\u00ea-xi-a gi\u1ea3m 2,2%, Ma-lai-xi-a gi\u1ea3m 6,0%, Th\u00e1i Lan gi\u1ea3m 7,8%, Phi-li-pin gi\u1ea3m 8,5% v\u00e0 Xin-ga-po gi\u1ea3m 6,2%.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

I. GI\u1edaI THI\u1ec6U KINH T\u1ebe V\u0128 M\u00d4 TO\u00c0N C\u1ea6U <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span>
\n1. Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Theo Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WB) , ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ki\u00ean c\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p s\u1ef1 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch. Sau khi GDP t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i trong Qu\u00fd III \u1edf m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 nh\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb mua h\u00e0ng (PMI) t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 52,5 trong th\u00e1ng 9 l\u00ean 53,3 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10, nh\u1edd l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c ch\u1ebf bi\u1ebfn ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n. \u0110\u00e0 t\u0103ng v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 11, v\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ni\u1ec1m tin kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u (Sentix) chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c sang t\u00edch c\u1ef1c l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean sau 9 th\u00e1ng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch \u0111ang c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 h\u01a1n, v\u1edbi s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi nhi\u1ec5m v\u00e0 c\u00e1c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u1ec1 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng gia t\u0103ng \u1edf nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n

Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IMF) \u00a0nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020 gi\u1ea3m 4,4%, m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u01b0a ra trong th\u00e1ng 6 n\u0103m 2020 (-4,9%). \u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u00edch c\u1ef1c n\u00e0y l\u00e0 do t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP Qu\u00fd II t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n trong Qu\u00fd III. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea1t 5,2% trong n\u0103m 2021. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u00f3m c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u1ea3m 5,8% n\u0103m 2020, nh\u01b0ng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 3,9% trong n\u0103m 2021. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u1edf m\u1ee9c -3,3% n\u0103m 2020 v\u00e0 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 6% n\u0103m 2021.<\/p>\n

T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c H\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kinh t\u1ebf (OECD) \u00a0cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch COVID-19 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c g\u00e2y thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 cho c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i. V\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trong ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u1eafc xin, t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ebd tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng, tuy v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. D\u1ef1a tr\u00ean gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t virus m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng v\u1eafc-xin ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2021 s\u1ebd gi\u00fap c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 ni\u1ec1m tin, kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd d\u1ea7n ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nhau gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia trong hai n\u0103m t\u1edbi. Sau khi s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh trong n\u0103m nay (-4,2%), GDP to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 4,2% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021 v\u00e0 3,7% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2022. V\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2021, GDP to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd \u1edf m\u1ee9c tr\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng nh\u1edd ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c.
\nT\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf Fitch Ratings (FR) \u00a0d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi l\u00e0 -3,7% n\u0103m 2020, t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c -4,4% \u0111\u01b0a ra trong th\u00e1ng 9 nh\u1edd s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn trong Qu\u00fd II n\u0103m 2020. FR c\u0169ng n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi n\u0103m 2021 th\u00eam 0,1 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m, l\u00ean 5,3%. D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n \u1edf c\u1ea3 Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong n\u0103m t\u1edbi s\u1ebd b\u00f9 cho t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u00ean 5% s\u1ebd l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t cao khi GDP th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea1t trung b\u00ecnh 2,6% m\u1ed9t n\u0103m k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1990.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Bi\u1ec3u 1. To\u00e0n c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/div>\n
\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Unit t\u00ednh:%<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
STT<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nT\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\n2019<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nN\u0103m 2020<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nN\u0103m 2021<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nKi\u1ec1m ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,8<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-4,4<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n5,2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nT\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c H\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Kinh t\u1ebf<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,7<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-4,2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n3,7<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nFitch x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,6<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-3,7<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n5,3<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
Ng\u0169 h\u00e0nh <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/i>:\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/i> IMF,\u00a0 <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/i>OECD, Fitch Ratings<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n

2. T\u1ed5ng quan bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u01b0ng c\u00f2n kh\u00e1 mong manh<\/em><\/p>\n

Theo T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WTO) , th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd nh\u01b0ng vi\u1ec7c duy tr\u00ec t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh l\u00e0 do \u201c\u0111\u01a1n \u0111\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u\u201d t\u0103ng, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 kh\u00e1c nhau \u1edf c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 dai d\u1eb3ng c\u1ee7a d\u1ecbch COVID-19 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a \u0111\u1ea1t 100,7 cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i trong Qu\u00fd II khi n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng phong t\u1ecfa, nh\u01b0ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i trong Qu\u00fd IV. Ngo\u00e0i ra, t\u00ednh kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn c\u1ee7a th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao. L\u00e0n s\u00f3ng l\u00e2y nhi\u1ec5m COVID-19 th\u1ee9 hai \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 B\u1eafc M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda kinh doanh m\u1edbi v\u00e0 ki\u1ec7t qu\u1ec7 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh.<\/p>\n

Theo WB, th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ec1u. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y cho th\u1ea5y t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i. Trong th\u00e1ng 10, c\u00e1c \u0111\u01a1n h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c ch\u1ebf bi\u1ebfn ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o gi\u1ea3m 0,5 \u0111i\u1ec3m xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 51,2 \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 gi\u1ea3m 0,6 \u0111i\u1ec3m, ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ea1t 46,2 \u0111i\u1ec3m. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y di\u1ec5n ra sau nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, du l\u1ecbch qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u1eabn suy gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh, v\u1edbi h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00e1ch du l\u1ecbch s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m h\u01a1n 75% trong th\u00e1ng 9. Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0110\u1ed1i t\u00e1c Kinh t\u1ebf To\u00e0n di\u1ec7n Khu v\u1ef1c (RCEP) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 15 qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u00e2u \u00c1 – Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng k\u00fd k\u1ebft v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 15 th\u00e1ng 11 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m t\u1edbi th\u00f4ng qua gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt c\u00e1c r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i<\/em><\/p>\n

WB cho r\u1eb1ng gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng nh\u1edd t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u00edch c\u1ef1c t\u1eeb s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u1eafc-xin. Trong th\u00e1ng 11, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4, \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh do vi\u1ec7c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u1eafc-xin COVID-19 c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nhu c\u1ea7u d\u1ea7u.
\nTheo IMF, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u giao ngay trung b\u00ecnh m\u1ed7i th\u00f9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u1edf m\u1ee9c 41 USD v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2020 v\u00e0 43,8 USD v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021, cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 4 v\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 6. D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng l\u00ean 48 \u0111\u00f4 la, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 25% so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh n\u0103m 2019.<\/p>\n

Trong th\u00e1ng 12, gi\u00e1 kim lo\u1ea1i t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u gi\u00fap t\u0103ng ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0<\/em><\/p>\n

C\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng, qua \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u00e2m l\u00fd v\u00e0 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n s\u1ef1 khu\u1ebfch \u0111\u1ea1i h\u01a1n n\u1eefa c\u1ee7a c\u00fa s\u1ed1c COVID-19 th\u00f4ng qua h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh. C\u00e1c s\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh m\u1edbi nh\u01b0 qu\u1ef9 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 750 t\u1ef7 euro, m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch gi\u1ea3i c\u1ee9u tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi g\u1ed3m c\u1ea5p ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n v\u1eadt cho c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng, tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p ti\u1ec1n l\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m, m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 ho\u00e3n thu\u1ebf,\u2026 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n t\u00e2m l\u00fd c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. C\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u1edf c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cung c\u1ea5p t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng cho nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng \u0111i vay. C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang Hoa K\u1ef3 c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, chuy\u1ec3n sang m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t trung b\u00ecnh linh ho\u1ea1t (2%) theo th\u1eddi gian.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u0169ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh trong th\u00e1ng 11 v\u00e0 12 nh\u1edd nh\u1eefng tin t\u1ee9c t\u00edch c\u1ef1c v\u1ec1 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a v\u1eafc xin COVID-19.<\/p>\n

D\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n v\u00e0o c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0 m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i t\u0103ng d\u1ea7n<\/em><\/p>\n

B\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a WB cho th\u1ea5y t\u00e2m l\u00fd l\u1ea1c quan \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i v\u00e0 \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n. H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i trong th\u00e1ng 11, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn \u1edf d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch \u1edf nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia.<\/p>\n

IMF nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i nh\u00ecn chung \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 6 (\u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c). C\u00e1c b\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 thanh kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap kh\u01a1i d\u1eady d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i. Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ec1u gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0 m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i.<\/p>\n

D\u00f2ng ki\u1ec1u h\u1ed1i gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u phong t\u1ecfa nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i. Tuy nhi\u00ean, nguy c\u01a1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n thanh to\u00e1n v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb lao \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1eadp c\u01b0 v\u1ec1 n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/p>\n

L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p<\/em><\/p>\n

OECD cho bi\u1ebft t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1edf c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1y v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0 gi\u1eefa n\u0103m 2020, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u1edf Hoa K\u1ef3, nh\u01b0ng nh\u00ecn chung v\u1eabn d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o xu h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m trong n\u0103m 2021. L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1edf h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c v\u1eeba ph\u1ea3i, ho\u1eb7c th\u1eadm ch\u00ed gi\u1ea3m trong hai n\u0103m t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

Theo IMF, trong s\u1ed1 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh, \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 h\u01a1n 4,5% t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 4 \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 9 do lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a d\u1ecbch COVID-19 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3. Trong c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3, \u0111\u1ed3ng euro t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 g\u1ea7n 4% nh\u1edd c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c l\u00e2y nhi\u1ec5m COVID-19 c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m. \u0110\u1ed3ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i ch\u00e2u \u00c1 kh\u00e1c nh\u00ecn chung v\u1eabn \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, \u0111\u1ed3ng r\u00fap c\u1ee7a Nga m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1.
\nTh\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng<\/p>\n

Theo IMF, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng \u1edf c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ng\u01b0\u1eddi lao \u0111\u1ed9ng thi\u1ebfu vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m \u1edf m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n cao h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u1edf m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh trong n\u0103m 2020.
\nTrong c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a OECD, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p trong th\u00e1ng 9 cao h\u01a1n kho\u1ea3ng 1,25 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m so v\u1edbi ngay tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ec1u gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p ch\u1ec9 t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 \u1edf Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 \u1edf nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn l\u00e0 do c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p duy tr\u00ec vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m nh\u01b0 l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn v\u00e0 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p l\u01b0\u01a1ng, nh\u01b0ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u00e0y c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 Ca-na-\u0111a c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 \u1edf m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch l\u1ea1i t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n

3. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u<\/strong><\/p>\n

Theo IMF, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi s\u00e1u r\u1ee7i ro ch\u00ednh sau:<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1i di\u1ec5n \u1edf nhi\u1ec1u n\u01a1i. N\u1ebfu vi-r\u00fat b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh \u0111i\u1ec1u tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 v\u1eafc-xin ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n ho\u1eb7c kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia v\u1edbi v\u1eafc-xin kh\u00f4ng b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1eb3ng, bi\u1ebfn th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7a vi-r\u00fat Covid-19 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i Anh \u0111\u00e3 lan sang m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 l\u00e0m cho ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn. S\u1ef1 lan t\u1ecfa xuy\u00ean bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi t\u1eeb nhu c\u1ea7u b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng th\u00eam t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ho\u1eb7c khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t. C\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 di\u1ec5n ra trong th\u00e1ng 3, l\u00e0m l\u1ed9 ra c\u00e1c l\u1ed7 h\u1ed5ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh. Vi\u1ec7c ng\u1eebng \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t cho vay m\u1edbi (ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ee3 hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3) s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf r\u01a1i v\u00e0o kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng n\u1ee3, l\u00e0m suy gi\u1ea3m ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf. Suy tho\u00e1i s\u00e2u s\u1ebd k\u00e9o theo thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t thanh kho\u1ea3n tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 n\u1ebfu t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng n\u00e0y k\u00e9o d\u00e0i s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ea5t vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m v\u00e0 thu nh\u1eadp, l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu th\u00eam nhu c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

B\u1ea5t \u1ed5n x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i gia t\u0103ng. Trong th\u00e1ng 6, t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i gia t\u0103ng t\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 nhanh ch\u00f3ng lan r\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi qua c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t ch\u1ee7ng t\u1ed9c v\u00e0 b\u1ea5t b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1eb3ng ch\u1ee7ng t\u1ed9c. C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh lan r\u1ed9ng ho\u1eb7c k\u00e9o d\u00e0i h\u01a1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m suy gi\u1ea3m ni\u1ec1m tin v\u00e0 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ebfn ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m leo thang trong \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, quan h\u1ec7 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u D\u1ea7u m\u1ecf (OPEC) + Nga v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u ngo\u00e0i OPEC g\u00e2y r\u1ee7i ro cho ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. N\u1ebfu m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 m\u1edbi nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ea5y trong th\u00e1ng 3 t\u00e1i di\u1ec5n s\u1ebd g\u00e2y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ebfn ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf, l\u00e0m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn.
\nS\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n M\u1ed9t gi\u1eefa Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00fd v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m, nh\u01b0ng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa hai n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1eabn gia t\u0103ng tr\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u m\u1eb7t. Th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp c\u1ee7a V\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c Anh v\u1edbi Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u h\u1ebft hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 31 th\u00e1ng 12 n\u0103m 2020. N\u1ebfu hai b\u00ean kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd, c\u00e1c r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd l\u00e0m t\u0103ng chi ph\u00ed kinh doanh v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u00e1c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t xuy\u00ean bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi l\u00e2u nay. C\u01a1 quan Ph\u00fac th\u1ea9m c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 ng\u1eebng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng do b\u1ebf t\u1eafc v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c l\u1ecbch h\u1eb9n, g\u00e2y nghi ng\u1edd v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ef1c thi c\u00e1c cam k\u1ebft ph\u00e1p l\u00fd c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y. S\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gia t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh n\u00e0y ho\u1eb7c trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i kh\u00e1c, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.
\nThi\u00ean tai do bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu. T\u1ea7n su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 gia t\u0103ng c\u00e1c th\u1ea3m h\u1ecda thi\u00ean nhi\u00ean li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 b\u00e3o nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1edbi, l\u0169 l\u1ee5t, s\u00f3ng nhi\u1ec7t, h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n v\u00e0 ch\u00e1y r\u1eebng \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y ra thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea1o v\u00e0 m\u1ea5t sinh k\u1ebf tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng \u1edf nhi\u1ec1u khu v\u1ef1c trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. C\u00e1c th\u1ea3m h\u1ecda c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n l\u00e0m t\u0103ng di c\u01b0 xuy\u00ean bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi v\u00e0 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh (v\u00ed d\u1ee5, trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m) ho\u1eb7c th\u00eam g\u00e1nh n\u1eb7ng b\u1ec7nh t\u1eadt.<\/p>\n

\u00a0II. T\u0102NG TR\u01af\u1edeNG C\u1ee6A M\u1ed8T S\u1ed0 N\u1ec0N KINH T\u1ebe
\n1. Hoa K\u1ef3<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1 \u00a0(ADB) nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh kinh t\u1ebf Hoa K\u1ef3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ngo\u1ea1n m\u1ee5c trong Qu\u00fd III n\u0103m 2020 m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u00e1c ca nhi\u1ec5m COVID-19 v\u1eabn t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh do n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p phong t\u1ecfa v\u00e0 b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00f3a c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng di\u1ec5n ra nhanh h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP t\u0103ng 33,1% so v\u1edbi qu\u00fd tr\u01b0\u1edbc. H\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c kinh t\u1ebf ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu do ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nhanh ch\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n. Ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 gi\u1ea3m. Ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n trong Qu\u00fd III \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 40,7% so v\u1edbi Qu\u00fd II do t\u0103ng c\u1ea3 v\u1ec1 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 ch\u0103m s\u00f3c s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe, \u0103n u\u1ed1ng v\u00e0 l\u01b0u tr\u00fa, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn gi\u1ea3m 2,9% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i. Nh\u1edd b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00f3a c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c g\u00f3i k\u00edch c\u1ea7u l\u1edbn, ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u00e1n l\u1ebb \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i trong th\u00e1ng 5 n\u0103m 2020 v\u00e0 gi\u1eef \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong Qu\u00fd III. Sau khi ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ea1nh trong th\u00e1ng 6, ni\u1ec1m tin ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, cho th\u1ea5y ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u1eabn quan ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 l\u00e2y lan c\u1ee7a COVID-19 trong c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng. \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u0103ng nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t, t\u0103ng 83% so v\u1edbi Qu\u00fd I nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn gi\u1ea3m 3,8% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i. \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o nh\u00e0 \u1edf, t\u0103ng mua s\u1eafm trang thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb v\u00e0 t\u1ed3n kho b\u00e1n l\u1ebb l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i. S\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p ch\u1ec9 m\u1edbi t\u0103ng t\u1eeb h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 6 nh\u01b0ng ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 nh\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb mua h\u00e0ng (PMI) \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nhanh ch\u00f3ng do ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p ch\u1ebf bi\u1ebfn ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ea1t 59,3 trong th\u00e1ng 10. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n nh\u01b0ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n, th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c cao \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111i\u1ec3m 14,7% trong th\u00e1ng 4 xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 6,9% trong th\u00e1ng 10\/2020. Nh\u1edd kinh t\u1ebf ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i trong Qu\u00fd III n\u00ean d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o GDP c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u0103ng t\u1eeb – 5,3% l\u00ean -3,5% n\u0103m 2020 v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng 4,2% n\u0103m 2021, t\u0103ng 0,2 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u01b0a ra h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 9\/2020.<\/p>\n

Theo OECD, b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n cao, th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p t\u0103ng v\u00e0 b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Hoa K\u1ef3, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, g\u00f3i k\u00edch c\u1ea7u t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh b\u1ed5 sung v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2021 s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 thu nh\u1eadp v\u00e0 chi ti\u00eau h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u00e0 \u1edf. Theo \u0111\u00f3, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ea1t 3,2% v\u00e0 3,5% trong n\u0103m 2021 v\u00e0 2022 sau khi gi\u1ea3m 3,7% trong n\u0103m 2020. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00ecnh b\u00e0y t\u1ea1i bi\u1ec3u 2 d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3u 2. Tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/div>\n
\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0T\u00ednh \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb:%<\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
STT<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nT\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\n2019<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nN\u0103m 2020<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nN\u0103m 2021<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nNg\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,2<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-3,5<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n4,2<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nT\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c H\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Kinh t\u1ebf<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,2<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-3,7<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n3,2<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nQu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,2<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-4,3<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n3,1<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nX\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng Fitch<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,2<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-3,5<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n4,5<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
Ngu\u1ed3n: ADB, OECD, IMF, Fitch Ratings<\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n

2. Khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro<\/strong><\/p>\n

Theo B\u00e1o c\u00e1o tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c H\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Kinh t\u1ebf (OECD), GDP n\u0103m 2020 c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro gi\u1ea3m 7,5% v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u1eabn c\u00f2n y\u1ebfu. GDP Qu\u00fd IV d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u1ea3m g\u1ea7n 3%, ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh vi\u1ec7c t\u00e1i \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p phong t\u1ecfa nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t \u1edf h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia trong khu v\u1ef1c. N\u1ebfu b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t d\u1ecbch \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 ni\u1ec1m tin ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng duy tr\u00ec t\u1ed1t, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u1edf m\u1ee9c 3,5% v\u00e0 3,2% cho giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2021-2022 v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee9c tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2022. C\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t vi-r\u00fat dai d\u1eb3ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n d\u1ecbch b\u1ec7nh l\u00e2y lan s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi v\u1eafc-xin \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i. Ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n s\u1ebd b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t do b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n v\u00e0 l\u00f2ng tin th\u1ea5p. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u1eefa n\u0103m 2021, \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c hai con s\u1ed1, sau \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n.<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PMI t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 45,3 trong th\u00e1ng 11 l\u00ean 49,8 trong th\u00e1ng 12 n\u0103m 2020, \u0111\u00e1nh b\u1ea1i k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng 45,8 c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

Theo ADB, sau khi gi\u1ea3m k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c trong Qu\u00fd II, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro trong Qu\u00fd III \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i, t\u0103ng 61,1% so v\u1edbi Qu\u00fd II, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn gi\u1ea3m 4,3% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i. \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u1edf h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn trong khu v\u1ef1c l\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u, ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc, th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i b\u00e1n l\u1ebb t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u1edf m\u1ee9c 8,3%. Ni\u1ec1m tin kinh doanh gi\u1eef \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh 90,9 trong th\u00e1ng 10 do tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i b\u00e1n l\u1ebb \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 trong khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111i l\u1ea1i nh\u1eb1m ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng COVID-19 m\u1edbi n\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng trong Qu\u00fd III kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 chuy\u1ec3n sang Qu\u00fd IV. Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro c\u00f3 t\u00ednh b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n cao v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u nguy c\u01a1 ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c do t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a COVID-19, c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, Brexit kh\u00f4ng th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn v\u00e0 n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng kh\u00f4ng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng. Theo \u0111\u00f3, ADB d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro gi\u1ea3m 7,4% n\u0103m 2020 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 5,6% n\u0103m 2021. Bi\u1ec3u d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro c\u1ee7a ADB v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3u 3. Tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/div>\n
\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0T\u00ednh \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb:%<\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
STT<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nT\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\n2019<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nN\u0103m 2020<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nN\u0103m 2021<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nNg\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n1,3<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-7,4<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n5,6<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nT\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c H\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Kinh t\u1ebf<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n1,3<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-7,5<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n3,6<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nQu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n1,3<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-8,3<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n5,2<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nX\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng Fitch<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n1,3<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-7,6<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n4,7<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
Ngu\u1ed3n: ADB, OECD, IMF, Fitch Ratings<\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n

3. Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n<\/strong><\/p>\n

OECD nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00fa s\u1ed1c COVID-19 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020 \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y suy tho\u00e1i l\u1edbn cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, GDP th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 5% trong n\u0103m 2020. N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang d\u1ea7n h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n ch\u1eadm. Vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u00e1c ca nhi\u1ec5m COVID-19 \u0111\u00e3 k\u00ecm h\u00e3m nhu c\u1ea7u trong n\u01b0\u1edbc. Khi c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ee1 b\u1ecf trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1edd s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1eeb c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p v\u00e0 khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7. Ngo\u00e0i ra, n\u1ebfu t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh d\u1ecbch b\u1ec7nh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n, nhu c\u1ea7u b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i s\u1ebd gi\u00fap t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u t\u1ea1i qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd t\u0103ng 2,2% n\u0103m 2021 v\u00e0 1,5% n\u0103m 2022, v\u1edbi gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ebd c\u00f3 th\u00eam nhi\u1ec1u g\u00f3i k\u00edch th\u00edch kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

Theo ADB, kinh t\u1ebf Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i sau khi gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh trong Qu\u00fd II n\u0103m 2020. Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng trong Qu\u00fd III nh\u1edd s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nh\u01b0 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n. Kinh t\u1ebf ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i trong Qu\u00fd IV nh\u01b0ng v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n. Theo k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 \u0111i\u1ec1u tra c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n kinh doanh \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u00e2m, k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01a1n h\u00e0ng m\u00e1y m\u00f3c ch\u00ednh v\u1eabn im \u1eafng cho th\u1ea5y ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u00f2n ch\u1eadm \u1edf l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c chi ph\u00ed v\u1ed1n. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb ch\u1ec9 gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 trong th\u00e1ng 9 do ni\u1ec1m tin ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh \u1edf m\u1ee9c 3,0%. Sau 14 th\u00e1ng gi\u1ea3m li\u00ean t\u1ee5c, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i trong th\u00e1ng 10. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PMI ch\u1ebf bi\u1ebfn ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 48,7 v\u00e0 PMI d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 46,9 nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m \u1edf khu v\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u. Theo \u0111\u00f3, ADB d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u1edf m\u1ee9c – 5,4% n\u0103m 2020 v\u00e0 s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i \u1edf m\u1ee9c 2,3% n\u0103m 2021.
\nD\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 bi\u1ec3u t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u1ec1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3u 4. Tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/div>\n
\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0T\u00ednh \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb:%<\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
STT<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nT\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\n2019<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nN\u0103m 2020<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nN\u0103m 2021<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nNg\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n0,7<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-5,4<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,3<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nT\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c H\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Kinh t\u1ebf<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n0,7<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-5,3<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,3<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nQu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n0,7<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-5,3<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,3<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nX\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng Fitch<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n0,7<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-5,3<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n3,5<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
Ngu\u1ed3n: ADB, OECD, IMF, Fitch Ratings<\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n

4. Trung Qu\u1ed1c<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Trong B\u00e1o c\u00e1o b\u1ed5 sung Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1 c\u1ee7a ADB, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c duy tr\u00ec m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n 0,7% trong ba qu\u00fd \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020, m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n nh\u1edd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd trong Qu\u00fd III \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4,9%. Trong 10 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020, gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb t\u0103ng th\u00eam th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 1,8%, \u0111\u1ea1t 6,9% trong th\u00e1ng 10 trong khi \u0111\u00f3 doanh thu b\u00e1n l\u1ebb gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 7,6%. Nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a gi\u1ea3m 2,3% trong 10 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020 nh\u01b0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 0,5% trong 6 th\u00e1ng cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2020. ADB d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng 2,1% n\u0103m 2020, \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u0103ng 0,3 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra trong b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 n\u0103m 2020. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1t 7,7% n\u0103m 2021.<\/p>\n

Theo OECD, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea1t 1,8% trong n\u0103m 2020, v\u00e0 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 8% trong n\u0103m 2021. C\u00e1c g\u00f3i k\u00edch th\u00edch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c r\u00fat l\u1ea1i nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thay b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u00e0o b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n v\u00e0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng d\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch k\u00edch th\u00edch v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n \u0111ang th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh nhu c\u1ea7u b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i \u1edf nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c ch\u00ednh trong chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1.
\nBi\u1ec3u d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y tr\u00ecnh b\u00e0y d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a ADB, OECD v\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c kh\u00e1c v\u1ec1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3u 5. Tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/div>\n
\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Unit t\u00ednh:%<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
STT<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nT\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\n2019<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nN\u0103m 2020<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nN\u0103m 2021<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nNg\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n6,1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n7,7<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nT\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c H\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Kinh t\u1ebf<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n6,1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n1,8<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n8,0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nTi\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n6,1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n1,9<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n8,2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nFitch x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n6,1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,3<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n8,0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
Ng\u0169 h\u00e0nh <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/i>: ADB, OECD, IMF, Fitch Ratings<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n

5. \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Theo ADB, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o GDP khu v\u1ef1c \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 n\u0103m 2020 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m, t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c -3,8% (d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o trong th\u00e1ng 9) xu\u1ed1ng -4,4%. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o GDP n\u0103m 2020 c\u1ee7a In-\u0111\u00f4-n\u00ea-xi-a, Ma-lai-xi-a v\u00e0 Phi-li-pin gi\u1ea3m do n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n d\u1ecbch COVID-19 ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng trong vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf c\u1eeda tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf cho th\u1ea5y tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n cho Bru-n\u00e2y, Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam. ADB gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Cam-pu-chia, C\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a D\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n L\u00e0o, Mi-an-ma v\u00e0 Xin-ga-po.<\/p>\n

N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf In-\u0111\u00f4-n\u00ea-xi-a gi\u1ea3m 3,5% trong Qu\u00fd III. Ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p t\u0103ng l\u00ean 7,1% trong th\u00e1ng 8, \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 8 n\u0103m 2011. D\u1ecbch COVID-19 \u0111\u00e3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n 30 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi do gi\u1ea3m gi\u1edd l\u00e0m, ng\u01b0ng tr\u1ec7 ho\u1eb7c m\u1ea5t vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o GDP c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3m 2,2% n\u0103m 2020 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng 4,5% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021. Ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng gia t\u0103ng v\u00e0 chi ti\u00eau theo ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf s\u1ebd th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021. \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u0169ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb c\u00e1c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra nh\u1eb1m c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng kinh doanh v\u00e0 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh RCEP.<\/p>\n

Ma-lai-xi-a \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng GDP t\u1eeb -17,1% trong Qu\u00fd II l\u00ean -2,7% trong Qu\u00fd III do t\u0103ng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed v\u00e0 y t\u1ebf. \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 trong Qu\u00fd III, trong khi chi ti\u00eau c\u00f4ng t\u0103ng. Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u r\u00f2ng l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u01b0\u01a1ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb Qu\u00fd III n\u0103m 2019. C\u00e1c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111i l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p l\u00e2y nhi\u1ec5m COVID-19 trong th\u00e1ng 10 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m quy m\u00f4 ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 v\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t trong Qu\u00fd IV. Do h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111i l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i gi\u1ea3m, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o GDP Ma-lai-xi-a s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m 6,0% trong n\u0103m nay tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i 7,0% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021.<\/p>\n

N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Phi-li-pin gi\u1ea3m 10,0% trong kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 1 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 9 n\u0103m 2020, ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh doanh, ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng gi\u1ea3m s\u00fat do \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch. V\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao 10,0% trong th\u00e1ng 7, ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh v\u1eabn gi\u1ea3m nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n (t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c -15,3% trong Qu\u00fd II l\u00ean -9,3% trong Qu\u00fd III) do n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf d\u1ea7n m\u1edf c\u1eeda tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ki\u1ec1u h\u1ed1i t\u1eeb lao \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u1edf m\u1ee9c 8,7% v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10. Ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng nh\u01b0ng v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n. Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u gi\u1ea3m \u00edt h\u01a1n nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u, g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt suy gi\u1ea3m GDP. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o GDP n\u0103m 2020 c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3m 8,5% do ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3m nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u0103m 2021 \u0111\u1ea1t 6,5% n\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng t\u0103ng l\u00ean v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i.<\/p>\n

T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng Xin-ga-po gi\u1ea3m 5,8% trong Qu\u00fd III. GDP trong Qu\u00fd IV d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb ni\u1ec1m tin kinh doanh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n, s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng do h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111i l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u y\u1ebfu. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o GDP c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c -6,2% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2020 nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00ean 5,1% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021.<\/p>\n

GDP Th\u00e1i Lan gi\u1ea3m 6,4% trong Qu\u00fd III n\u0103m 2020, ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m 12,1% trong Qu\u00fd II. Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n d\u1ea7n h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c khi c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i. C\u00f3 s\u1ef1 c\u1ed9ng h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o cho n\u0103m 2020 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 t\u1eeb -8,0% l\u00ean -7,8%, nh\u01b0ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cho n\u0103m 2021 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 4,5% xu\u1ed1ng 4,0%.<\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3u 6. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/div>\n
\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/i>Unit t\u00ednh:%<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
STT<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nQu\u1ed1c gia<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\n2019<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nN\u0103m 2020<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nN\u0103m 2021<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
ADB<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nIMF<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nADB<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nIMF<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nADB<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nIMF<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nIn-\u0111\u00f4-n\u00ea-xi-a<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n5,0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n5,0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-2,2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-1,5<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n4,5<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n6,1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nMa-lai-xi-a<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n4,3<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n4,3<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-6,0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-6,0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n7,0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n7,8<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nPhi-li-pin<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n6,0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n6,0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-8,5<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-8,3<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n6,5<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n7,4<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nTh\u00e1i Lan<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,4<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,4<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-7,8<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n-7,1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n4,0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n4,0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nXin-ga-po<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n0,7<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/td>\n-6,2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/td>\n5,1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
Ngu\u1ed3n: ADB v\u00e0 IMF<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n

6. Vi\u1ec7t Nam <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n

B\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u201c\u0110i\u1ec3m l\u1ea1i\u201d c\u1ee7a WB c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 ng\u00e0y 21\/12\/2020 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ea1t 2,8% trong n\u0103m 2020. Theo WB, \u00a0m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch COVID-19, nh\u01b0ng nh\u1edd c\u00f3 c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng, s\u00e1ng t\u1ea1o \u1edf c\u00e1c c\u1ea5p, kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 v\u00e0 t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00ean kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 s\u1ee9c ch\u1ed1ng ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/p>\n

Kinh t\u1ebf ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i trong th\u00e1ng 10, trong \u0111\u00f3 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng g\u1ea7n b\u1eb1ng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc d\u1ecbch COVID-19.
\nHo\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb ghi nh\u1eadn t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cao nh\u1ea5t so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc trong th\u00e1ng 10 k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t d\u1ecbch COVID-19 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 2. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t t\u0103ng 6,6% v\u00e0 6,7% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc.
\nTh\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c, m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n nh\u1edd h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u sang M\u1ef9 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh. Th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a trong 10 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 17,7 t\u1ef7 USD, trong \u0111\u00f3 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u00e1ng 10 \u0111\u1ea1t 1,4 t\u1ef7 USD. Kim ng\u1ea1ch xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u0103ng l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t 9,7% v\u00e0 9,8% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

D\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i (FDI) v\u00e0o Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u0103ng cho th\u1ea5y ni\u1ec1m tin v\u00e0o n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c sau \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t d\u1ecbch v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 8. Khi l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng COVID-19 th\u1ee9 hai \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng, FDI \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean kho\u1ea3ng 2,27 t\u1ef7 USD trong th\u00e1ng 10, so v\u1edbi 1,67 t\u1ef7 USD trong th\u00e1ng 9 v\u00e0 0,8 t\u1ef7 USD trong th\u00e1ng 8. Trong 10 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 thu h\u00fat \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 23,5 t\u1ef7 USD v\u1ed1n FDI, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n kho\u1ea3ng 19,4% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m 2019, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u00e0nh t\u1ef1u n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt do UNCTAD d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n FDI v\u00e0o c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c1 s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m 30-45% trong n\u0103m 2020.
\nL\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec m\u1ee9c \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng trong th\u00e1ng 10 v\u1eabn \u0111i ngang so v\u1edbi ba th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m, n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 giao th\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbcVi\u1ec7t Nam c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t nh\u01b0ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng v\u1eabn gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3. V\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 10, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u00e1i c\u1ea5p v\u1ed1n gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 4,5% xu\u1ed1ng 4% v\u00e0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u00e1i chi\u1ebft kh\u1ea5u t\u1eeb 3% xu\u1ed1ng 2,5%. \u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eb1m gi\u1ea3m chi ph\u00ed vay v\u1ed1n k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng COVID-19. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng \u1edf m\u1ee9c 9,6% trong th\u00e1ng 10 so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng 10,2% c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 9. Tuy nhi\u00ean, t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng n\u00e0y v\u1eabn cao h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP danh ngh\u0129a, do \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng\/GDP v\u1eabn \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng.
\nTrong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c khi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 6,8% trong n\u0103m 2021 v\u00e0 s\u1ebd \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1ee9c 6,5% c\u00e1c n\u0103m ti\u1ebfp theo. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o n\u00e0y c\u1ee7a WB \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng COVID-19 s\u1ebd d\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t khi v\u1eafc xin COVID-19 ph\u00e1t huy \u00a0hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3.<\/p>\n

Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf<\/strong><\/p>\n

Trong B\u00e1o c\u00e1o Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng Kinh t\u1ebf Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi th\u00e1ng 10 n\u0103m 2020, IMF d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o GDP c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u0103ng 1,6% trong n\u0103m 2020, m\u1ee9c cao th\u1ee9 hai t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, ch\u1ec9 sau Mi-an-ma (2%). Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng n\u1eb1m trong s\u1ed1 \u00edt qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c1 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch COVID-19.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, k\u1ebft th\u00fac \u0111\u1ee3t tham v\u1ea5n tr\u1ef1c tuy\u1ebfn t\u1eeb 15 th\u00e1ng 10 \u0111\u1ebfn 13 th\u00e1ng 11 v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam, b\u00e0 Era Dabla Norris, Tr\u01b0\u1edfng ph\u00e1i \u0111o\u00e0n \u0110i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh IV V\u1ee5 Ch\u00e2u \u00c1 – Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ee7a IMF cho bi\u1ebft t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong n\u0103m 2020 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200b\u0111\u1ea1t 2,4%, an to\u00e0n trong c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, nh\u1edd v\u00e0o c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch nh\u1eb1m ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng suy gi\u1ea3m s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf t\u1eeb COVID-19 d\u1ecbch. <\/span>H\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1eabn t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u1edbi h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh v\u00e0 doanh nghi\u1ec7p d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb th\u01b0\u01a1ng. <\/span>Fountain the money of the currency main and the bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u1eddi gian t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt \u00e1p l\u1ef1c thanh to\u00e1n, gi\u1ea3m chi ph\u00ed huy \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1ed1n v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c cho d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bs\u1ebd di\u1ec5n ra v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bs\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean 6,5% khi ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf trong v\u00e0 ngo\u00e0i n\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00f3a. <\/span>C\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u1eabn h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u00ednh n\u0103ng, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi n\u0103m 2020. L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bs\u1ebd v\u1eabn g\u1ea7n v\u1edbi ti\u00eau \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a bao ph\u1ee7 ch\u00ednh, \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4%.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

GDP Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u0103ng nhanh t\u1eeb 0,4% trong Qu\u00fd II n\u0103m 2020 l\u00ean 2,6% trong Qu\u00fd III, n\u00e2ng m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng trung b\u00ecnh t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 1 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 9 l\u00ean 2,1%. <\/span>D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cho n\u0103m 2020 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u0103ng t\u1eeb 1,8% l\u00ean 2,3% nh\u1edd \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh, ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i, m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf nhanh ch\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c . <\/span>ADB d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u0103m 2021 \u0111\u1ea1t 6,1%.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3u 7. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/div>\n
\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u0110\u01a1n v\u1ecb t\u00ednh:%<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
STT<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nT\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\n2019<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nN\u0103m 2020<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\nN\u0103m 2021<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\nQu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Ki\u1ec1m<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n7,0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,4<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n6,5<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\nNg\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n7,0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,3<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n6,1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\nNg\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n7,0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n2,8<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n6,8<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0110\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch COVID-19 b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 lan r\u1ed9ng kh\u1eafp to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn b\u1ee9c tranh kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi n\u0103m 2020 h\u1ebft s\u1ee9c u \u00e1m. T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 6\/2020, c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u00e0 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed3ng lo\u1ea1t nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u suy tho\u00e1i s\u00e2u…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6848,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6847","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tuc-su-kien"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hfoods.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6847","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hfoods.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hfoods.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hfoods.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hfoods.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6847"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hfoods.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6847\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hfoods.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6848"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hfoods.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6847"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hfoods.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6847"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hfoods.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6847"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}